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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

December 8, 2016

Dec 8, 2016 11:00 AM   By Rapaport News
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Polished market stable during peak jewelry selling season. Small melee significantly weakened by India’s currency demonetization. Larger stones relatively unaffected. Nov. RAPI 1 ct. +0.5%, 0.30 ct. +0.5%, 0.50 ct. -1%, 3 ct. +1.2%. Manufacturing profitability better than last year with De Beers Jan. to Nov. rough price index -5%. Lukoil to sell Grib mine to Russian Otkritie investment group for $1.5B. Christie’s NY sells $51M with rectangular, 51.35 ct., D, VVS1 diamond sold for $5.6M ($108,422/ct.). Belgium Nov. polished exports -6% to $878M, rough imports +60% to $1.1B. GIA opens synthetic melee testing service.

Fancies: Fancy-shape market stable with top-quality, fine-cut Pears and Ovals enjoying holiday demand. Princess, Emeralds and Cushions slow after steady seasonal orders from large U.S. jewelry chains. Large sizes getting some interest, but buyers are extremely picky. U.S. demand supporting market for small-to-medium size, commercial-quality fancies (H-J, SI2-I2). Far East fancy demand weak. Significant price differentials between excellent- and average-cut fancies. Off-make, poorly-cut fancies illiquid and very hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Positive sentiment due to improved trading during the holiday season. Many inquiries for memo goods from independent jewelers. Stable demand for 1 ct., H-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A3+ diamonds. Melee market quiet. Good holiday demand for Pears. Retailers increasing marketing spend to boost final holiday sales.

Belgium: Steady last-minute orders for specific goods from U.S. and European independent jewelers. Dealers relatively satisfied with holiday trading but still cautious about the market. Stable demand for 0.30 to 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A3+ diamonds. 3 ct. improving. Steady demand for good-quality, fancy color diamonds. Rough trading stable with large sizes stronger than smalls.

Israel: Dealer trading quiet with most orders complete for the U.S. holiday season. Steady demand for under-the-carat GIA goods with some weakness and rising inventory for 0.50 to 0.89 ct., D-I, IF-VVS diamonds. Stable demand for fine-quality pears and ovals, 0.70 to 2 ct., F-H, VS-SI’s. Fancy color market positive with strong demand for blues, pinks and greens. Higher-end fancy yellows weak amid cautious Chinese demand.

India: Dealers trying to normalize operations after Nov. government demonetization liquidity crisis. Larger exporters resuming regular activity with full manufacturing capacity after Diwali break. Smaller dealers and manufacturers adjusting to new currency laws and lower demand from local jewelers. Steady foreign demand with U.S. and Israeli dealers looking to fill U.S. orders. Rough trading stable during De Beers and ALROSA Dec. sales.

Hong Kong: Dealer sentiment slightly improved with steady orders for the Chinese New Year season. Buyers shifting to lower price points with good demand for 0.30 to 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Retailers under pressure with strong dollar impacting Chinese tourist spending. Retail slowdown easing with Oct. jewelry, watch and valuable sales -0.1% vs. -20% for year to date. Jewelers reducing prices and lowering margins to improve sales.
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