Rapaport Magazine

Holding Pattern

U.S. November Retail Market Report

By Lara Ewen
RAPAPORT...

By the time fall rolls around, most jewelers have begun planning for their holiday sales push. Part of the plan is determining the right marketing strategies, both online and offline, but the lion’s share of the work involves figuring out what kind of merchandise mix will excite customers. Stores that have had a good year so far in 2011 are cautiously optimistic, as they have been for the past few years, that this holiday will turn out slightly better than flat. Stores that have been struggling are hoping that with a wide range of price points and a good attitude, holiday will bring a hopeful end to a stressful year.

Holiday Expectations

Most retailers are expecting 2011 holiday sales to be at or above 2010 numbers. “We don’t have goals in terms of what we need to do for holiday,” said Gail Friedman, owner of Sarah Leonard Fine Jewelers in Los Angeles. “Black Friday has never been a big shopping day for us, but then, we’re not in a mall, so it’s never affected us. But this year, we’re going to try things. I have no idea how this is going to go. Hopefully, we have two huge weekends and our Christmas will be as big as I think it’s going to be. Otherwise, we’ll have a Christmas like we had in 2010, and we’ll be happy with that, too.”

Most retailers seem to think that 2011 holiday sales will be more or less in keeping with the rest of the year’s numbers. “Our retail merchants’ association predicts a pretty flat season, but we’re actually being more aggressive with our marketing,” said Chris Coleman, part owner of Nelson Coleman, located in Towson, Maryland, and serving the Greater Baltimore Metropolitan Area. “We are up in sales 9 percent for the year, and we’re thinking we’re going to be up maybe just under 10 percent for the holidays. We’re nervous, but hopeful.”

Sales are also holding steady in the Northeast, and the hope is that holiday will continue that trend. “I think holiday will be slightly better than last year, based on what we’re seeing,” said Perry Sporn, owner of Perrywinkle’s Fine Jewelry, with one store in Vermont and three stores in upstate New York, plus seven Pandora stores. “I don’t know that we’ll see the economy get worse. It won’t be a banner holiday, but I think it will be decent.”

For stores that have seen significant improvement this year, the expectation is that the improvement will hold through Christmas. “We’re running 20 percent above goal so far this year,” said Bill Jones, president of Sissy’s Log Cabin, with two stores in Arkansas, “and we’re hoping to continue that for holiday. It’s all about our mix of merchandise — we’ve stayed very traditional with inventory — and our associates. They’re salespeople. People come in to shop, and they want to be entertained. I say, if you’re clerking, they’re lurking, but if you’re selling, they’re buying.”

Bolstered by Bridal

In areas that have been harder hit by a faltering economy, sales have been tougher to come by. “It’s tough, because we’re out here where people don’t make a lot of money,” said Don Hamann, president of Sartor Hamann, with three stores in Nebraska. “We have 50,000 kids at the University of Nebraska, and they have so much money borrowed, and all of a sudden, you’re talking about $6,000 engagement rings, and they can’t get the money. We’ll do holiday promotions like we always do, but we won’t do much different, because we don’t have any new ideas that could sell $6,000 diamonds.”

Much of 2011 has been spent trying to figure out what works, and what doesn’t work, in terms of merchandise. For some stores, engagement sales have been a lifeline. “Bridal has been keeping us going,” said Friedman. “We worked with The Knot and we learned that the designers that were in the news were the ones that pulled in customers. Brides in Los Angeles are all brand-driven. If it’s not popular, then they’re not interested.”

Going for Gold

For others, buying gold has kept them afloat. “There are a lot of jewelers today who wouldn’t be in business if they weren’t buying gold off the street,” said Hamann. “We’ve bought a lot of gold off the street.”

Buying gold isn’t right for everyone, though. “We never got into the gold buying,” said Jones. “We were always concerned that gold buying would tarnish our reputation.”

Coleman agreed, sort of. “Some of our competitors have pushed so strongly on gold buying,” he said. “For some of them, it’s been like crack cocaine. But we believe it’s also a warning. If you don’t get the message right, you can damage your brand, and people begin to associate you with pawn. So we call it ‘free jewelry box consultations.’”

Ultimately, said Coleman, it’s about buying what moves. “My father’s favorite saying was, ‘It’s not a museum,’” he said. “No matter how much you love a piece, you have to be able to sell it.”

 

The Marketplace

  • Round sells best. Cushion or princess, depending on the market, come in second.

  • Stones under 1 carat, from .75 to .90, are moving fast, as are 1-carat stones.

  • SI1 is the most popular clarity.

  • G-I is the best-selling color range.

  • Platinum sales are about even with 14-karat gold in settings, though some lower-end customers are turning to silver and palladium is gaining some ground.

  • The average price for an engagement ring, including stone and setting, is $6,200.

Article from the Rapaport Magazine - November 2011. To subscribe click here.

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