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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

May 5, 2016

May 5, 2016 11:00 AM   By Rapaport News
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Rounds: Polished market slow with April 1 ct. RAPI -0.3%; 0.30 ct. -1.3%. Steady U.S. demand raises expectations for Las Vegas shows. Chinese jewelry sales steady during May Day holiday but Hong Kong hurt by fewer tourists. Hong Kong 1Q polished imports -13% to $4.2B, exports -8% to $3.2B.U.S. March jewelry sales +4% to $4.1B but retail consolidation deepens as JBT reports 323 jewelry businesses closed in 1Q. India March polished exports +4% to $1.8B, rough imports -5% to $1.4B. Lucara 1Q revenue +71% to $51M, profit +185% to $17M. Lesedi la Rona 1,109 ct. rough sale expected to exceed $70M ($63,120/ct.) at Sotheby’s London on June 29. Pawnbrokers Cash America and First Cash to merge.

Fancies: Ovals doing well and cushions have cooled off. Emeralds selling. Princess and Hearts slow. Top quality fine-cut fancy shapes OK but buyers are extremely picky. Overall fancy shape prices relatively soft. U.S. demand supporting market for commercial-quality fancies, especially for sizes under 1 ct. Far East fancy demand weak. Buyers are very selective and insisting on excellent-shape proportions. Significant price differentials between excellent- and average-cut fancies. Off-make, poorly-cut fancies illiquid and very hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Polished trading quiet. New York wholesalers filling orders but not buying for inventory. Steady demand for 0.50 to 2.50 ct., G-J, VS2-SI2 RapSpec A2 diamonds. Ovals the strongest fancy shape. Jewelry retail sales stable but consumer sentiment weaker. Jewelers pushing promotions ahead of Mother’s Day. Engagement and bridal sales supporting the market during summer wedding season.

Belgium: Activity muted with trading cut short due to Thursday’s Ascension Day public holiday. Concern demand is weaker than usual for this time of year. Trading focused on 0.30 to 1 ct., G-H, VS-SI RapSpec A2 diamonds. Inventory rising with new polished returning from grading labs. Rough trading quiet but stable with cautious expectations for next week’s ALROSA sale.

Israel: Polished market quieter than earlier in the year. Dealers focused on U.S. market with rising expectations for upcoming Las Vegas shows. Suppliers working with retail programs selling at better prices than dealers of generic loose stones. Steady demand for 0.30 to 1.99 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Rough trading slow.

India: Polished trading slowing. Dealers anticipate quieter market through May school vacation period. Sentiment relatively positive with expectations 2016 will be better than last year. Steady U.S. demand ahead of Las Vegas shows. Chinese demand stable. Domestic Indian demand improving since jewelers strike ended. Manufacturing levels stabilizing and rough trading slow as new polished enters the market.

Hong Kong: Dealer and jewelry wholesale markets quiet following May 1 Labor Day celebration. Retailers note slight improvement in jewelry sales during the holiday but fewer Chinese tourist arrivals. Sales in Mainland China reportedly positive. Jewelers combining May 1 and Mother’s Day promotions. Official data shows Hong Kong diamond market contracted in first quarter.
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