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Rapaport TradeWire February 2, 2017

Feb 2, 2017 6:00 PM   By Rapaport
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  Rapaport TradeWire  
Rapaport TradeWire
RAPAPORT NEWS SERVICE | February 2, 2017   www.rapaport.com | news@rapaport.com
 
 
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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment February 2, 2017

Polished trading slow with Far East dealers on holiday during the Chinese New Year. Manufacturing profit margins squeezed with high rough prices and soft polished demand as 1 ct. RAPI -0.9% in Jan. U.S. 2016 jewelry sales +5% to $71.4B but consolidation continues as JBT reports 1,669 jewelry businesses closed in 2016. Signet makes key personnel changes to strengthen digital offering after lackluster holiday season. LVMH 2016 jewelry sales +5% to $3.7B. ALROSA 2016 production -2% to 37.4M cts., sales +34% to 40.1M cts. Belgium 2016 polished exports -10% to $11.8B, rough imports +9% to $12.1B. Rio Tinto to close U.S. office. Brendan Bell to step down as Dominion CEO.

RapNet Data: February 2
Diamonds 1,273,522
Value $7,655,960,304
Carats 1,352,757
Average Discount -30.35%

www.rapnet.com

RAPI Chart
The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI™) is the average asking price in hundred $/ct. of the 10 percent best priced diamonds, for each of the top 25 quality round diamonds (D-H, IF-VS2, GIA-graded, RapSpec-A3 and better) offered for sale on RapNet - Rapaport Diamond Trading Network.

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  QUOTE OF THE WEEK
  The [Tiffany] brand is definitive and iconic, yet continues to push and evolve with the times.

Lady Gaga after collaborating with Tiffany & Co. for the jeweler's new campaign

MARKETS  
 
United States: Polished market stable but quieter than expected for this time of year. Dealers surprised by strong rough market while polished and retail sectors sluggish

Belgium: Cautious polished trading during Antwerp Fair. Steady orders for specific goods with very little inventory buying

Israel: Polished trading quiet. Growing concerns about low profitability amid continued strength in the rough market. Steady demand for 0.30 to 2.99 ct., F-I, SI2-I1, RapSpec A3+ diamonds

India: Trading subdued with limited transactions as foreign buyers push for deeper discounts. Very few large orders in place from retailers building up inventory

Hong Kong: Dealer market on vacation with retailers focusing on Chinese New Year season. Busy shopping period calms as consumers spend holiday week with family or traveling

Click here for deeper analysis


 RAPAPORT STATEMENT  
 
Polished Prices Slide Despite Buoyant Rough Market

Diamond manufacturing profits were squeezed in January amid strong rough demand while polished prices softened. The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI™) for 1-carat diamonds fell 0.9% during the month and was down 6.8% from a year ago. Manufacturers raised polished production as they expect trading to improve after the holiday season. However, the high level of rough sales was not supported by activity in the polished and retail sectors, with jewelers reporting disappointing December sales.

Purchase the full Rapaport Monthly Report – February 2017


INDUSTRY  
 
U.S. Jewelry Market Shrinks in 2016

The number of jewelry businesses operating in the U.S. fell 6% to 26,725 last year, according to the Jewelers Board of Trade. Some 1,518 businesses simply discontinued, unrelated to financial failure or merger, an increase of 63% from the previous year. Consolidation from mergers or takeovers increased 3.5% to 118, while bankruptcies fell 15% to 33. The number of jewelry retailers leaving the industry grew 43% to 1,269.


 
Prices of Blue Diamonds Reach All-Time High

The Fancy Color Diamond Index climbed 0.4% in 2016 due to continued strength in demand for blues and pinks, the Fancy Color Research Foundation reported. Prices of blue diamonds jumped 5.5% to an all-time high due to low supply. Prices of pink diamonds increased 1.4%, while yellow-diamond prices fell 4%.


 
Global Weakness Hits Antwerp Diamond Trade

Belgium’s polished diamond trade fell last year due to the economic slowdown in India and China, the Antwerp World Diamond Centre (AWDC) said. Polished exports slid 10% to $11.8 billion, while imports fell by the same margin to $11.39 billion. Belgium’s rough trade performed better, with imports growing 8.6% to $12.09 billion and exports up 11% to $12.73 billion last year.


 
Rio Tinto to Close New York Marketing Base

Rio Tinto Diamonds will shut its North American sales and marketing office in the first quarter as part of a cost-cutting exercise. The New York representative base was set up a decade ago to serve as a gateway to the U.S. retail sector. The miner will continue to collaborate with its ‘Select Diamantaire’ clients on marketing initiatives in the country. Brandee Dallow (pictured), who headed the New York operation, will leave Rio Tinto when the office closes.


RETAIL & WHOLESALE  
 
U.S. Jewelry Sales Rise Amid Higher Prices

U.S. jewelry sales increased 4.8% to $71.4 billion in 2016, government data showed. Sales at specialist jewelry stores climbed 3% to $25.3 billion in the first 11 months, according to separate data, which lags by a month. Sales grew as prices rose with the consumer price index (CPI) for jewelry jumping 6.2% during the year. Watch sales increased 5.3% to $9.5 billion with the CPI for watches advancing 5.2%.

Image: Newscast


 
LVMH Growth Highlights High-End Resilience

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton reported jewelry and watch sales increased 9% to $1.05 billion (EUR 982 million) in the fourth quarter and by 5% to $3.71 billion for the full year. The group, which includes Bulgari, Chaumet, Tag Heuer, Hublot and De Beers Diamond Jewellers, said it shrugged off political and economic uncertainty with growth driven by improvements in China, South Korea and the Middle East.


 
Pandora Enters Burgeoning Indian Jewelry Market

Pandora is opening its first stores in India to capitalize on expected growth in the country. The Danish jeweler, known for its charm bracelets and silver jewelry, is planning about 50 concept stores in the next three years, in addition to shop-in-shops, with five concept stores projected for 2017. The jeweler selected Pan India Charms & Jewellery as its official distributor in the country.

Image: Jorge Royan


 
Signet Shakes Up Senior Management

Signet Jewelers announced several strategic and operational appointments following disappointing holiday sales. Bryan Morgan, VP of supply-chain management and repair, was promoted to COO to replace Ed Hrabak who is retiring. Sebastian Hobbs, currently U.K. managing director, was named president and chief customer officer, a new position created to improve the consumer experience. Brian Tilzer, chief digital officer at CVS Health, was appointed to Signet’s board.


MINING  
 
ALROSA Caps 2016 Output to Reduce Stocks

ALROSA’s diamond production fell 2% to 37.4 million carats in 2016 as the miner focused on reducing excessive inventory from the previous year. Sales volume increased 34% to 40.1 million carats while the value of sales exceeded $4.3 billion. ALROSA said it reduced output at its alluvial deposits to align with the weak diamond market environment in 2015. Fourth-quarter production increased 10% to 9.5 million carats driven by its underground operations, while the company is planning to raise output 6% this year.


 
First Gahcho Kué Diamond Sale Disappoints

Mountain Province failed to sell a quarter of the goods offered at its inaugural sale of rough diamonds from the Gahcho Kué mine. The company withdrew mostly brown and lower-quality supply from the tender due to insufficient bids as tight liquidity limited Indian buyers. The January sale took place in Antwerp and fetched $6.3 million from 49,420 carats. Production at Gahcho Kué, a joint venture with De Beers, launched in September, with output reaching 862,000 carats in 2016.


 
Lucapa Buys Lesotho Diamond Mine

Lucapa Diamond Company acquired a 70% stake in the Mothae mine in Lesotho for $9 million. The company expects the resource will complement its high-value Lulo mine in Angola since it also contains large, premium-value and type-IIa diamonds. The miner received a 10-year mining lease and a right to extend by another decade from the Lesotho government, which owns the remaining 30% of the mine. Mothae was previously owned by Lucara Diamond Corporation.


 
First Liqhobong Rough Sale Set for February

Firestone Diamonds will hold its maiden sale of rough diamonds from the Liqhobong mine in Antwerp from February 6 to 10, with results expected the following week. The company plans to host another sale toward the end of March and two sales per quarter thereafter. Production at the Lesotho-located mine was launched in October with more than 20 special stones above 10.8 carats and several fancy yellow diamonds among the mix.


GENERAL  
 
Dominion CEO Quits Before Company's Move to Calgary

Dominion Diamond Corporation’s chief executive Brendan Bell will stand down when the miner moves its headquarters from Yellowknife to Calgary. A process is underway to find a replacement, with Bell (pictured) committing to the role until June 30. Bell said the move was necessary to reduce operating costs, but he could not continue as CEO for personal reasons. Bell joined Dominion in July 2013, effectively serving as CEO since November 2014.


 
RJC Unveils New Self-Assessment Guide

The Responsible Jewellery Council introduced an updated self-assessment workbook in a revised format designed to help members understand its code of practice. The group, which monitors sourcing practices in the jewelry market, explained the new publication tailors self-assessment questions toward the activities of its members and includes instructions to help companies plug compliance gaps ahead of an audit.


ECONWATCH  
 
Diamond Industry Stock Report

Signet (-7.2%) led the declines in U.S. retail stocks after it announced a shake-up of its senior management team. European luxury shares were also down, headed by Richemont (-2.2%), after the Cartier owner also revealed several leadership changes. Chow Tai Fook (+5.9%) led resurgent Far East stocks, while Indian jewelry shares improved.

View the detailed industry stock report


  Feb 2, 2017 (12:25 GMT) Jan 26, 2017 (13:30 GMT) Chng.  
$1 = Euro 0.93 0.93 -0.01  
$1 = Rupee 67.32 68.16 -0.84  
$1 = Israel Shekel 3.76 3.79 -0.03  
$1 = Rand 13.40 13.35 0.05  
$1 = Canadian Dollar 1.30 1.31 -0.01  
         
Precious Metals       Chng.
Gold $1,221.30 $1,190.47 $30.83 2.6%
Platinum $1,006.55 $975.65 $30.90 3.2%
Silver $17.67 $16.87 $0.80 4.7%
         
Stock Indexes       Chng.
BSE 28,226.61 27,708.14 518.47 1.9%
Dow Jones 19,890.94 20,068.51 -177.57 -0.9%
FTSE 7,147.91 7,178.49 -30.58 -0.4%
Hang Seng 23,184.52 23,374.17 -189.65 -0.8%
S&P 500 2,279.55 2,298.37 -18.82 -0.8%


INDIA MARKET REPORT  
 
Polished Trading Activity

Trading subdued with limited transactions as foreign buyers push for deeper discounts. Very few large orders in place from retailers building up inventory. Suppliers waiting for Hong Kong International Jewellery Show (Feb. 28) to assess Far East demand and sustainable polished price levels. Steady rough trading after large De Beers and ALROSA sales. Manufacturers raising production in anticipation that polished trading will improve in February and March.

Read the Polished Diamond Trading Report






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