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Rapaport TradeWire February 9, 2017

Feb 9, 2017 6:00 PM   By Rapaport
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  Rapaport TradeWire  
Rapaport TradeWire
RAPAPORT NEWS SERVICE | February 9, 2017   www.rapaport.com | news@rapaport.com
 
 
Industry Retail General Mining EconWatch India
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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment February 9, 2017

Diamond demand stable as reduced supply of polished and higher rough costs support price levels. Over $1B of new higher-priced rough entered the market in January without any increase in polished demand. Oversupply of expensive polished expected. Chinese New Year good for gold, but gem-set jewelry sales stagnate. Chow Tai Fook holiday sales +4% in China, -11% in Hong Kong & Macau. U.S. retailers hoping to tap pent-up diamond jewelry demand over Valentine’s Day. Indian jewelers starting to restock for ongoing wedding season after demonetization froze orders. ALROSA Jan. sales +60% to $365M. Tiffany & Co. CEO Frederic Cumenal resigns after disappointing Christmas.

RapNet Data: February 9
Diamonds 1,272,940
Value $7,619,110,474
Carats 1,337,727
Average Discount -30.52%

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RAPI Chart
The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI™) is the average asking price in hundred $/ct. of the 10 percent best priced diamonds, for each of the top 25 quality round diamonds (D-H, IF-VS2, GIA-graded, RapSpec-A3 and better) offered for sale on RapNet - Rapaport Diamond Trading Network.

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  QUOTE OF THE WEEK
  The diamond-cutting sector in India is obviously coping with the problems caused by the currency reform in the country somewhat faster than expected.

ALROSA vice-president Yury Okoemov

MARKETS  
 
United States: Slight improvement in NY trading. Dealers managing with lower inventory as retailers start to replenish holiday stock

Belgium: Cautious trading after quiet Antwerp fair. Buyers testing the market by offering deeper discounts but no urgency to buy goods

Israel: Polished trading quieter than expected for this time of year. Hopes that high-profile foreign delegations will raise trading levels at Israel International Diamond Week (Feb. 13-16)

India: Sentiment improving as impact of demonetization begins to fade. Jewelry retailers starting to buy again after two-month lull as wedding season demand improves

Hong Kong: Wholesale market quiet as dealers slowly return from Chinese New Year vacation. Chinese tourist arrivals steady during the festival but Hong Kong attracting price-sensitive visitors from lower-tier cities

Click here for deeper analysis


INSIGHTS  
 
Can Lady Gaga Save Tiffany & Co?

Tiffany & Co. appears to be shaking things up. It’s replacing its CEO, has brought in designer Reed Krakoff as its chief artistic officer and ran a Super Bowl ad for the first time featuring Lady Gaga. Gaga brings her own femininity and twist to the Tiffany story, while her strong opinions suggest the jeweler recognizes it’s missing out on a generation of consumers. But will Gaga, and her 65 million Twitter followers, spark company growth and inspire some much needed creativity in the industry’s marketing?

Click here to continue reading


INDUSTRY  
 
DPA to Scrutinize Synthetic Detection Machines

The Diamond Producers Association (DPA) plans to audit synthetics detectors to help the industry navigate its way around the broad choice of machines available on the market. The group is laying the groundwork for an independent laboratory that will test diamond-screening devices currently sold in the market and publish its results to the trade. The marketing body aims to gather a committee of representatives from major industry organizations by the end of March to assess the scope of the program.


 
India’s Jewelry Market Shows Signs of Recovery

Traffic at this week’s Signature India International Jewellery Show was light, but buyers were placing orders again. The upswing in demand was as a result of Indian jewelry retailers needing goods for the rest of the wedding season, as they haven’t bought for two to three months since the government’s demonetization program froze activity in November. Exhibitors said sales were still 20% below last year’s levels, but were happy to be doing business again. Gold sales were better than studded jewelry, while there was very little loose-diamond trading.


 
ALROSA Gains as Indian Demand Stabilizes

ALROSA reported a 60% jump in diamond sales to $365.4 million in January as manufacturing in India showed signs of a turnaround. Revenue from rough diamonds stood at $358.2 million, while polished sales were pegged at $7.3 million. India’s diamond trade had slowed in the last two months of 2016 as the government invalidated INR 500 and INR 1,000 notes, snapping liquidity. However, diamond cutters in India are coming to terms with the new reality faster than expected, ALROSA explained.


RETAIL & WHOLESALE  
 
Tiffany CEO Cumenal in Shock Departure

Tiffany & Co.’s chief executive officer Frederic Cumenal stepped down with immediate effect, the company announced on Sunday. Chairman and former CEO Michael Kowalski has taken over the role in the interim. Tiffany’s board has been disappointed by recent financial results, Kowalski noted, with holiday sales in the Americas falling 4%, partly due to protests outside New York’s Trump Tower that restricted access to the flagship Fifth Avenue store. Cumenal (pictured) had been CEO since April 2015.

Image: Martin Crook


 
Chow Tai Fook’s Holiday Sales Jump in China

Chow Tai Fook said sales from the mainland outperformed those in Hong Kong during the Chinese New Year holiday period. Retail revenue from mainland China showed a 4% jump for January 14 to February 3, which covers the two-week run-up to the festival and the first seven days of the New Year. By contrast, sales in Hong Kong and Macau fell 11%.


 
Pandora Sales Rise as Store Network Grows

Pandora’s revenue grew 21% to $2.9 billion (DKK 20.28 billion) last year as the jeweler expanded its network of branded stores. The number of Pandora-branded retail locations, known as concept stores, increased by 336 to 2,138 in 2016, the company reported. These types of stores recorded a 37% jump in sales. Revenue from multi-branded stores fell 7% as the number of locations slumped by 1,829 to 3,966. Group profit jumped 64% to $861.9 million.


MINING  
 
Rio Tinto Diamond Sales Lag Behind Market

Rio Tinto’s diamond revenue slid 12% to $613 million last year, even as global rough demand strengthened. Net income dived 41% to $47 million. The decline is at odds with the increase in sales seen at other comparable miners, including De Beers and ALROSA. Overall rough demand recovered in 2016 from a cyclical downturn in the previous year, but varied significantly across product segments, Rio Tinto said.


 
Rio Tinto Gifts India Mine to Government

Rio Tinto took an unusual decision to hand over the Bunder diamond mining project in India as a gift to a regional government, after walking away from the program last year. The government of Madhya Pradesh, where the project is located, will take ownership of Bunder’s assets and infrastructure in accordance with an order signed last month. In August, the company announced it wouldn’t be continuing with the project because of an internal cost-cutting exercise.

Image: Copyright © 2017 Rio Tinto


 
Letšeng Sales Fall as Large-Diamond Output Drops

Gem Diamonds said sales from its high-value Letšeng mine fell 22% to $184.6 million last year as the company extracted fewer large rough diamonds than expected. The average selling price dropped 26% to $1,695 per carat. Production of rough diamonds weighing 100 carats or more at Letšeng has crept up every year from three stones in 2012 to a peak of 11 in 2015, before falling to four last year.


GENERAL  
 
Gold Price Hike Dampens Jewelry Demand

A jump in gold prices and sluggishness in India and China negatively impacted global jewelry demand last year, according to the World Gold Council. Global demand fell 15% to 2,041.6 tonnes in 2016, a seven-year low. Indian demand for gold jewelry fell 22%, partly because the price of the metal jumped 8%, the council explained. A nationwide jewelers’ strike in the first quarter also contributed to the weakness, as did the government’s demonetization policy in November.


 
Gahcho Kué Hits Big League with 68ct. Diamond

Mountain Province Diamonds recovered the largest gem-quality stone yet from its Gahcho Kué mine in Canada. At 67.87 carats, the octahedron-shaped rough diamond was extracted during the ramp-up of the mine, which was launched in September last year. The mine is on track to achieve commercial production, meaning 70% of capacity, during the first quarter, with the second sale of diamonds scheduled to take place in Antwerp from February 20 to March 1.


ECONWATCH  
 
Diamond Industry Stock Report

European luxury stocks declined, with Swatch Group (-4.9%) falling the most as the timepiece retailer reported a drop in full-year sales and profit. Jewelry retailer Vaibhav (+43%) led mixed Indian shares after reporting promising quarterly profit figures. Hong Kong industry stocks also varied, with Chow Tai Fook (-3.2%) heading the declines after releasing disappointing Hong Kong sales over the Chinese New Year even as mainland revenue was positive. Mining stocks generally weakened, with Gem Diamonds (-3%) reporting lower sales and fewer large-diamond recoveries.

View the detailed industry stock report


  Feb 9, 2017 (12:19 GMT) Feb 2, 2017 (12:25 GMT) Chng.  
$1 = Euro 0.94 0.93 0.01  
$1 = Rupee 66.85 67.32 -0.47  
$1 = Israel Shekel 3.75 3.76 -0.01  
$1 = Rand 13.41 13.40 0.01  
$1 = Canadian Dollar 1.31 1.30 0.01  
         
Precious Metals       Chng.
Gold $1,239.28 $1,221.30 $17.98 1.5%
Platinum $1,021.00 $1,006.55 $14.45 1.4%
Silver $17.76 $17.67 $0.09 0.5%
         
Stock Indexes       Chng.
BSE 28,329.70 28,226.61 103.09 0.4%
Dow Jones 20,054.34 19,890.94 163.40 0.8%
FTSE 7,209.11 7,147.91 61.20 0.9%
Hang Seng 23,525.14 23,184.52 340.62 1.5%
S&P 500 2,294.67 2,279.55 15.12 0.7%


INDIA MARKET REPORT  
 
Polished Trading Activity

Sentiment improving as impact of demonetization begins to fade. Jewelry retailers starting to buy again after two-month lull as wedding season demand improves. Gold jewelry performing better than diamonds. Diamond buyers cautious with trading expected to rise for Hong Kong show (Feb. 28). Manufacturing levels stable with smaller factories still cautious amid limited liquidity.

Read the Polished Diamond Trading Report






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