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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

Apr 26, 2018 11:00 AM   By Rapaport News
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Diamond market seasonally quiet. Polished prices steady, but profit margins squeezed after April rough increase. Polished trading more profitable than rough manufacturing. Petra 1Q rough prices +5%. Letšeng 1Q average price +98% to $3,276/ct. Miners sold more carats than recovered in 1Q: De Beers sales -38% to 8.8M cts., production +15% to 8.5M cts. Alrosa sales -6% to 13.3M cts., production -17% to 7.4M cts. US jewelry sector shrinking as 343 businesses discontinued in 1Q. Christie’s sells $46M (88% by lot) and Sotheby’s sells $34M (83% by lot), with fancy intense blue diamonds leading New York auctions. De Beers to launch diamond-tracking program for artisanal miners.

Fancies: Fancy shapes mixed, with curves better than squares. Ovals hot, followed by Pears and Cushions. Emeralds and Radiants fair. Marquises and Princesses weak. Oversizes selling well. Steady demand for fine-quality 6-10 ct. Ovals, Pears and Emeralds, with limited supply. US supporting market for commercial-quality, medium-priced fancies under 1 ct. Far East demand improving as consumers seek fancy shapes at better prices. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Polished market mixed. Steady domestic and Chinese demand for nice, 0.30-0.40 ct., F-H, VS2-SI1 diamonds. 1-3 ct., F-I, VS-SI goods also selling well. Difficult for wholesalers to replace the diamonds they sold at previous prices. National Retail Federation expects Mother’s Day jewelry sales of $4.6 billion, down from estimated $5 billion last year.

Belgium: Slight slowdown in polished trading. Larger firms getting steady orders, doing better than smaller companies. 0.30-0.40 ct., F-H, SI remains hot category. Buyers insisting on 3X, no fluorescence, and willing to pay premium over lesser qualities. Rising demand for commercial-quality large stones, 3-10 ct., H-J, VS-SI. Rough trading stable.

Israel: Good US demand and slight improvement in Chinese orders.Trading slowed since January and February, but is better than this time last year. Good US demand for 1-3 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Polished prices firm as manufacturers defend recent rough-price hikes. Sluggish activity at monthly Blue & White Fair for local trade.

India: Trading slower, despite inaugural Bharat Diamond Week. Foreign buyers attended the event, but weak response from local dealers. Many taking vacation during summer-holiday period. Steady demand for dossiers, 0.30-0.50 ct. and 1-1.50 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Industry leaders plan meeting with banks as liquidity concerns remain.

Hong Kong: Market slows at start of summer lull. Prices stable, supported by some shortages and selective demand. Steady orders for 1 ct., G-H, VS-SI, RapSpec A2+ (3X, no-fluorescence) diamonds. 0.30-0.40 ct., G-H, VS-SI also moving well. Jewelry retail continues to improve, driven by gold sales in China and rise in tourist shopping. Luk Fook 4Q same-store sales +16%.
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