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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

Feb 21, 2019 10:59 AM   By Rapaport News
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Rising expectations for Hong Kong show (Feb. 26), with hope that Chinese buyers will resume bulk orders following 2018 slowdown. Dealers uncertain about prices. Suppliers taking a lot of goods to the show. Top-make RapSpec A2+ seeing steady demand and short supply. Rough market cautious ahead of De Beers sight, as manufacturers are squeezed by high rough prices and inflated polished inventory. De Beers 2018 revenue +4% to $6.1B, earnings -34% to $349M, average price +6% to $171/ct. Petra Diamonds appoints Richard Duffy as CEO, 1H revenue +8% to $207M, loss of $58M vs. loss of $118M the previous year. India Jan. polished exports -16% to $1.7B, rough imports -40% to $858M.

Fancies: Fancy-shape market stable, driven by US and European demand for fashion jewelry. Supply shortage supporting prices for Pears. Radiants improving. Marquises and Princesses weak. Excellent-cut Ovals, Pears and Emeralds doing well, with steady demand for fine-quality goods in 6 to 10 ct., and prices firming for 3 to 5 ct. due to shortages. Chinese consumers seeking fancy shapes at better prices. US sustaining market for commercial-quality, medium-priced fancies under 1 ct. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Suppliers working directly with retailers on program goods doing well. Dealers having tough time amid slow trading. Memo houses busy, with short-term consignment goods selling more easily than long-term. Steady demand for 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A3+ diamonds. Mixed reports about Valentine’s Day, with busy traffic at big brands and shift to lower price points.

Belgium: Polished trading slow for this time of year. Steady demand for 0.50 to 1 ct., G-M, VS-SI, with shortage in lower colors. Focus on filling specific requests from US and Europe, rather than bulk orders. Little excitement for Hong Kong show. Rough dealers cautious due to tight liquidity and reduced manufacturing.

Israel: Quiet market, with suppliers hoping Hong Kong show will stimulate better activity. Many attending the show without exhibiting. Dealers struggling to compete with India on price. Stable demand for 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A3+ goods; shortage of K-M colors. Large stones and nice-make fancy shapes selling well.

India: Suppliers optimistic for Hong Kong show, with signs of improvement in polished trading. Overseas buyers looking for top-make VS-I1 goods, with shortages in select categories. Manufacturers maintaining lower production, as inventory of low-quality polished remains high. Tight liquidity due to reduced bank credit, squeezed profit margins and delayed payments from some overseas clients. Local jewelry market slow.

Hong Kong: Wholesale trading improving, with some pre-orders before the Hong Kong show, which begins Feb. 26. Dealers optimistic for show as buyers have refrained from bulk orders for some time. Good demand for 1 ct., F-K, SI-I1, VG+ diamonds. 0.30 to 0.70 ct., G-I, SI-I1 also selling well. Jewelers more optimistic than before, with sentiment buoyed by strong ecommerce growth.
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