Rapaport Magazine
Markets & Pricing

India


A lackluster year for India

The new GST and demonetization cast a shadow over the market, but analysts predict an upturn in 2018.

By Zainab Morbiwala
With demand slow for diamonds and diamond jewelry, the Indian gem and jewelry industry has not had much to celebrate in 2017. The major issues the trade faced were the introduction of the goods and services tax (GST) in July and the aftereffects of the government’s demonetization policy, which particularly hit smaller retailers who trade in cash.
  “The diamond industry was struggling for survival,” an industry player told Rapaport Magazine, speaking on condition of anonymity. “Customers today are not willing to spend on jewelry, and if necessary, their purchase is often restricted to buying gold jewelry, keeping in mind the investment value it holds. Post-demonetization, jewelry retail was at a low, and just when we were slowly getting back on track, the issue of GST has brought us back to a similar phase.”

Understanding GST
   Rajiv Jain, chairman of the International Colored Gemstone Association (ICA) Congress 2017 and a former chairman of the Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) explained that consumers preferred to spend money on luxury goods and vacations rather than jewelry. “The industry, too, has faced issues understanding the new GST laws,” he continued. “But once we understand the new laws, 2018 should be good for us. Not that we will witness a dramatic change, but we are optimistic of having a better 2018 as compared to what the industry faced in 2017.”
   While there is demand for cheaper and extremely high-end stones, Jain added, the middle segment has been slow.

Flat forecast
   According to the GJEPC, gem and jewelry exports are likely to remain flat in the 2017-18 financial year, which began in April. While overseas shipments fell in the first half of fiscal 2018, an improvement is likely in the second half.
   “We saw a decline of 10% in overall gem and jewelry exports in the first six months of this financial year, mainly on account of economic slowdown in the overseas market, the introduction of VAT in Dubai, and implementation of GST in July,” GJEPC chairman Praveenshankar Pandya told the Press Trust of India news agency. At the India Gold & Jewellery Summit at Vigyan Bhavan in Delhi on December 1 and 2, the GJEPC brought together the industry’s stakeholders to define a clear gold policy framework to promote transparency and boost jewelry manufacturing. One of the outcomes was a target of $25 billion in jewelry exports by 2022.

Colored gemstones get a boost
   In October, for the first time in 14 years, Jaipur hosted the four-day International Colored Gemstone Association (ICA) Congress. More than 300 delegates from around the world attended the conclave, which included a series of seminars that focused on the market’s dynamics and challenges.
   “The current market sentiments are low across all categories, and this applies to colored gemstones as well,” Jain said. “Demand is low not only within India, but internationally as well. Innovation is the key to moving forward. The current trend is to innovate with the product design and offer customers jewelry that has a higher perceived value.”
   He added that it was “a matter of pride that [Jaipur] got a chance to host the ICA Congress. There were factory visits organized where key international delegates applauded the world-class factories that have been set up in Jaipur for cutting and polishing colored gemstones.” The congress gave global exposure to factories involved in producing colored gemstones, he stressed, saying this would eventually lead to international orders.

Article from the Rapaport Magazine - December 2017. To subscribe click here.

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