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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

Oct 25, 2018 10:59 AM   By Rapaport News
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Polished trading improving, with US holiday orders driving sales. Buyers looking for bargains in Mumbai as weak currency and tighter bank lending put pressure on Indian dealers. Surat factories closing early for Diwali, with large inventories of melee and 30-pointers. Innovative jewelers gaining market share as JBT reports 226 businesses closed and 51 opened in 3Q. China/Hong Kong jewelry retail better than expected, with gold sales driving Chow Tai Fook 2Q double-digit growth. Rough trading slow. Alrosa sales volume -11% to 6.7M cts., production +2% to 10.5M cts. De Beers sales volume -28% to 5M cts., production -5% to 8.7M cts. Lucara to launch sales using Clara system.

Fancies: Far East demand improving as Chinese consumers seek fancy shapes at better prices. US and European demand mixed. Ovals and Cushions are best sellers, followed by Emeralds and Pears. Radiants improving. Marquises and Princesses weak. Oversizes selling well. Steady demand for fine-quality 6 to 10 ct. Ovals, Pears and Emeralds, with prices firming for 3 to 5 ct. due to shortages. US supporting market for commercial-quality, medium-priced fancies under 1 ct. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Trading sluggish for this time of year. Single-stone market steady. Melee weak. Demand firm for large diamonds in lower qualities. High-end large stones stable. Jewelers preparing for holiday season, with a lot of goods on memo.

Belgium: Positive sentiment amid pre-holiday season trading. 1 to 2 ct., G-J, VS-SI selling well to satisfy US and European demand. Fancy shapes stable, with Ovals and Pears the best sellers. Rough market cautious as inventory levels rise before Diwali.

Israel: Market improving but there is concern that global slowdown and tight Indian liquidity will impact trading. Steady demand for 1 ct., G-H, VS-SI, RapSpec A3+ diamonds. Focus on US before holiday season, with Continental Buying Group (CBG) visiting Israel Diamond Exchange. Dealers to sell to Chinese consumers through AliExpress. Rough and polished buyers seeing opportunities in India as Surat manufacturers reduce production.

India: Stronger activity in Mumbai during India Diamond Week, with foreign buyers looking for goods before Nov. 7 Diwali break. Solid US orders for 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Chinese cautious and shifting to SI-I1 clarities. Small stones slow, but VVS stars and melee better. Small-scale manufacturers under pressure from currency depreciation, tighter bank lending and high rough prices. Reserved outlook for Diwali as rupee-based gold prices rise.

Hong Kong: Slight boost in trading, with stable demand for 0.50 to 1 ct., D-H, VS-SI goods. Gradual shift to lower price points, with increasing orders for SI clarities and fancy yellows. Jewelers holding large inventory and avoiding bulk purchases due to unfavorable exchange rates. Retail sector steady, despite uncertainty over trade war and weaker currency.
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