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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

Apr 21, 2016 7:58 AM   By Rapaport News
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Rounds: Polished trading quiet. Suppliers refusing low offers for better-quality RapSpec A2 diamonds. Manufacturing profit declining with high rough prices and weak polished demand. Rising expectations for U.S. demand as Dow surpasses 18,000. De Beers 1Q production -10% to 6.9M cts., sales -10% to 7.6M cts. ALROSA 1Q production -2% to 8.2M cts., sales +34% to 12.1M cts. Sotheby’s NY sells $30M (71% by lot) but Shirley Temple 9.54 ct. blue diamond fails to sell. Israel 1Q polished exports -17% to $1.4B. Israeli police probing Hanan Abramovici over $60-65M owed to bourse members. THE RAPAPORT PRICE LIST WILL NOT BE PUBLISHED ON APRIL 29 DUE TO THE JEWISH HOLIDAY OF PASSOVER.

Fancies: Ovals doing well and cushions have cooled off. Emeralds selling. Princess and Hearts slow. Top quality fine-cut fancy shapes OK but buyers are extremely picky. Overall fancy shape prices relatively soft. U.S. demand supporting market for commercial-quality fancies, especially for sizes under 1 ct. Far East fancy demand weak. Buyers are very selective and insisting on excellent-shape proportions. Significant price differentials between excellent- and average-cut fancies. Off-make, poorly-cut fancies illiquid and very hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Quiet polished trading with many New York dealers taking vacation during next week’s Passover holiday. Buyer’s market developing as suppliers reduce prices on unwanted excess inventory.No price breaks for top-quality RapSpec A2 goods that are in high demand. Steady demand for bread-and-butter 0.30 to 1.99 ct. diamonds. Melee and large stones above 3 ct. weak.Retailers avoiding unnecessary inventory and taking goods on memo.

Belgium: Confidence low and trading slow. Dealers focused on filling orders with very little buying for inventory. Steady demand for pointer sizes and 1 to 2 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Suppliers holding firm prices for better-quality RapSpec A2 diamonds. Good fancy color diamond demand. Rough trading stable. Widening gap between rough and polished resulting in declining manufacturing margins. Big stones under pressure.

Israel: Sentiment weak with default of estimated $60-65M owed to the trade by Hanan Abramovici. Trade is concerned bankruptcies may follow. Polished trading slow. Big-stone demand weak with limited selective orders. Steady U.S. demand for 0.30 to 1.99 ct., G-J, VS-I2 diamonds. Good fancy shape demand for ovals and pears. Rough trading stable with boxes selling for low premiums on the secondary market. Israel Diamond Exchange services will be closed for the week of Passover (April 24-28).

India: Trading is relatively slow and the market is expected to be quiet through April-May. Weak domestic demand resulting from jewelers’ strike impacting cash flows in the diamond sector. Retailers mulling further action to protest 1% jewelry excise duty when parliament returns next week. Steady demand for GIA-dossiers and 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI diamonds. Manufacturing levels stabilizing.

Hong Kong:
Polished trading stable, continuing momentum since the March show. Concern about softening prices and weak big-stone demand. Steady demand for 0.30 to 1 ct., D-J, VS-SI, 3X diamonds. Consumer spending remains cautious with large retail chains reporting weak jewelry sales in Jan.-Mar. quarter. Jewelers expecting sales boost in Mainland China during May 1 Golden Week but weak Hong Kong sales due to decline in tourist traffic.
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