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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

May 11, 2016

May 11, 2016 5:18 AM   By Rapaport News
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Rounds: Market sentiment improving despite lackluster May trading. Polished inventory rising as new production comes on stream. Rough trading slow with reduced supply reported at ALROSA sale, while sightholders anticipate stable prices at next week’s De Beers sight. Lucara sells 813 ct. rough diamond for $63M ($77,649/ct.). Sarine 1Q revenue +27% to $16M, profit triples to $3M. Titan Company FY sales -5% to $1.7B, profit -16% to $104M. Blue Nile 1Q sales -3% to $103M, profit -9% to $1M. U.S. March polished imports -5% to $2B, polished exports -15% to $1.5B. Belgium April polished exports -14% to $899M, rough imports +34% to $1.2B.

Fancies:
Ovals doing well and cushions have cooled off. Emeralds selling. Princess and Hearts slow. Top quality fine-cut fancy shapes OK but buyers are extremely picky. Overall fancy shape prices relatively soft. U.S. demand supporting market for commercial-quality fancies, especially for sizes under 1 ct. Far East fancy demand weak. Buyers are very selective and insisting on excellent-shape proportions. Significant price differentials between excellent- and average-cut fancies. Off-make, poorly-cut fancies illiquid and very hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States:
The market remains quiet. Cautious expectations for 2H due to restrained consumer spending and uncertainty caused by the upcoming election. Steady demand for 0.50 to 2 ct., G-I, VS2-SI2 diamonds. Growing trend toward stacked and layered jewelry driving demand for smaller diamonds. Bridal market steady and strong.

Belgium: Polished trading stable with dealers concerned about lagging consumer demand. Polished supply rising but demand is selective. Good demand for 0.30 to 2.99 ct., D-J, VS-SI RapSpec A2 diamonds. Demand for 3 and 4 ct. stones weak. AWDC notes good U.S. demand for high-value diamonds and steady demand from the Gulf for lower qualities. Rough trading slower than April.

Israel: Polished trading steady but activity declines as bourse closes for Memorial Day and Independence Day.Sentiment improving as dealers prepare for Las Vegas shows. Good demand for 0.30 to 0.40 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A2 diamonds and for 7 to 8 ct. stones which are in short supply. Weak demand for 3 ct., D-H, IF-VS2 diamonds. Rough trading stable ahead of De Beers sight with persistent concerns about high prices.

India: Market slow with some dealers taking vacation during ongoing school holiday. Dealers focused on filling U.S. orders with rising expectations for Las Vegas shows. Asia Pacific demand cautious. Domestic Indian demand improving. Good demand for dossiers, particularly 0.30 to 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A2 diamonds. Inventory levels rising as new polished production becomes available. Manufacturing steady. Rough demand slower during this week’s ALROSA sale.

Hong Kong:
Weak consumer sentiment impacting jewelry sales. Jewelry retailers relying on steady sales in Mainland China to compensate for sluggish Hong Kong market. Major jewelers exploring growth potential on e-commerce and mobile platforms as they roll back brick-and-mortar expansion. Diamond trading stable with dealers maintaining cautious outlook for 2H.
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