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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

June 9, 2016

Jun 9, 2016 11:00 AM   By Rapaport News
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Rounds: JCK Las Vegas show traffic slower than previous years but meets conservative expectations. Exhibitors concerned about sluggish demand, synthetics, marketing to millennials, and U.S. election uncertainty. Upbeat Antique show signals improving demand for branded estate jewelry. May 1 ct. RAPI flat, 0.30 ct. -1.1%. Signet shares plunge 20% as Kay Jewelers defends ‘diamond swapping’ claims. Chow Tai Fook FY revenue -12% to $7.3B, profit -46% to $384M. U.S. April polished imports +3% to $1.9B. Belgium May polished exports +5% to $1.1B, rough imports +18% to $1.3B. Stuller joins Int’l Grown Diamond Association. DPA unveils marketing slogan: ‘Real is Rare. Real is a Diamond.’

Fancies: Ovals doing well and cushions improving. Emeralds selling. Princess and Hearts slow. Top quality fine-cut fancy shapes OK but buyers are extremely picky. Overall fancy shape prices relatively soft. U.S. demand supporting market for commercial-quality fancies, especially for sizes under 1 ct. Far East fancy demand weak. Buyers are very selective and insisting on excellent-shape proportions. Significant price differentials between excellent- and average-cut fancies. Off-make, poorly-cut fancies illiquid and very hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Mixed sentiment at Las Vegas shows. Buyers looking for specific items and not purchasing for inventory. Suppliers with the right stock and who were willing to compromise a bit on price made sales. Good demand for 1 ct. over-sizes, J-L, VVS-SI and 10 ct.+, J-L, VS2-SI1 diamonds. Ovals strongest fancies shape. Cushions making a comeback. Steady jewelry sales driven by robust bridal market. A lot of goods being sent out on memo.

Belgium: Polished trading slowly improving after quiet May. Fewer Antwerp-based exhibitors at JCK Las Vegas than previous years. Stable demand for 0.30-0.70 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A2 diamonds. Improving demand for 1 ct., G-J, VS-SI and good European and Asian demand for under-the-carat GIA dossiers. Rough trading steady with stable prices for Russian goods. Concerns about rising inventory levels ahead of slow summer months.

Israel: Trading in the bourse quiet with many dealers at Las Vegas shows. Sentiment relatively positive even as JCK show fell short of expectations. Inventory levels rising.Good demand for top make RapSpec A2 diamonds. Stable demand for 1 ct., D-H, VS-SI diamonds and large 10+ ct., G-J, SI’s. Fancy shapes steady with good demand for ovals and cushions. Fancy yellows sold well in Vegas. Rough trading quiet.

India: Activity back to normal after May summer break with foreign buyers looking for goods in Mumbai. Dealers at Las Vegas shows note stable U.S. demand but concerned about consumer sentiment. Small goods weak at the show. Steady demand for dossiers. Rough trading quiet after relatively large De Beers and ALROSA May sales. Manufacturing levels stable again after summer vacation with polished inventory expected to rise in coming months.

Hong Kong: Diamond trading quiet with dealers interested in Las Vegas. Suppliers preparing for June Hong Kong show (June 23 to 26), the smallest of the three annual Hong Kong fairs. Jewelers note tough retail environment in Hong Kong as tourism has dropped. China jewelry sales stable with Chow Tai Fook noting consumers increasingly seeking personalized shopping experience.
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