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Rapaport Weekly Market Comment

Jul 26, 2018 10:59 AM   By Rapaport News
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Summer lull continues, with some improvement as US dealers return from vacation. Prices slightly softer due to seasonal slowdown. Suppliers optimistic for 2H amid US and China jewelry growth, despite trade tensions. US jewelers improving efficiency with customization and omni-channel as 477 retailers closed in 1H vs. 445 last year. Indian cutters cautious due to weak rupee and tighter credit, as banks cut lending -10% since alleged $2B Nirav Modi fraud. De Beers 1H revenue +2% to $3.2B, underlying earnings -41% to $202M, rough prices +1.6%. Alrosa 1H production -17% to 15.9M cts. LVMH 1H jewelry and watch sales +8% to $2.3B. Federal Trade Commission classifies lab-grown as a diamond.

Fancies: Far East demand improving as Chinese consumers seek Pears and Princesses at better prices. US and European demand mixed, with curves better than squares. Ovals hot, followed by Emeralds, Pears and Cushions. Marquises and Princesses weak. Oversizes selling well. Steady demand for fine-quality 6 to 10 ct. Ovals, Pears and Emeralds, with prices firming for 3 to 5 ct. due to shortages. US supporting market for commercial-quality, medium-priced fancies under 1 ct. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

United States: Buyers slowly returning from vacation. Steady demand for 1.50 to 2.50 ct., G-J, VS-SI, RapSpec A3+ goods. Cushions improving. Dealers preparing for New York Antique show. Retail sentiment positive, despite trade-war fears.

Belgium: Dealers preparing for vacation, with bourses set to close for three weeks (July 30 to August 20). Suppliers holding firm on prices, expecting stronger orders after August break. Steady demand and shortages for 3 ct., D-F, IF collections goods. 0.30 to 0.40 ct. selling well in Europe. Rough trading stable during sight week.

Israel: Activity slowing ahead of bourse summer vacation (August 5 to 17). Good demand for 3X, no-fluorescence diamonds. Steady US demand for 1 ct., G-J, SIs. High-end fancy colors doing well, commercial-quality yellows stable. Melee market quiet.

India: Fewer foreign buyers in Mumbai during summer period. Trade cautious amid tight liquidity and diminishing credit. Domestic demand weak due to higher rupee diamond prices after currency depreciation. Steady demand for 1 ct., G-J, SI-I2, RapSpec A3+ diamonds. High rough prices squeezing manufacturing profits, with factories operating below full capacity.

Hong Kong: Quiet market expected until September show amid summer slowdown. Chinese tourists cautious due to yuan depreciation. US tariffs on Chinese goods threatening consumer outlook. Dossiers selling better than 1 ct.+ goods. Steady demand for 0.30 to 0.40 ct., G-J, VS-SI. Weaker demand for 1.50 to 2 ct. goods. Jewelers see strong 2Q.
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